Newcastle Jets (K) 2-2 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.13/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/0.84
+60% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
24.4 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.59 xG 1.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 277
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.12.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
06.01.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-3 HT 1-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
26.11.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-4 HT 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
30.11.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-3 HT 2-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
2-2
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.99 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
263 Passes 205
71% Pass Accuracy 63%
26 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) and Canberra United (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle Jets (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 54% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 46%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 1.99 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.80 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 2-2 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 42%, draw 22%, Canberra United (K) 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
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