Canberra United (K) 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 29 Dec 2024

📅29/12/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.35/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.79
+30% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
241 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.0
10.4 Crosses 27.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.64 xG 2.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
284 Passes 234
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 3-3 HT 1-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
26.11.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 3-4 HT 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
30.11.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-3 HT 2-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
0-0
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
0.74 xG 0.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
257 Passes 303
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) and Newcastle Jets (K) played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 47% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 53%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Newcastle Jets (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Canberra United (K) and 2.50 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Canberra United (K) 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 35%, draw 25%, Newcastle Jets (K) 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
29 Dec 2024
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