Western United (K) 2-8 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 29 Dec 2024

Western United (K)
2-8 HT 1-5
Brisbane Roar (K)
📅29/12/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Western United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.41
No
50%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.2pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.19/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/1.48
+56% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +148% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
14.0 Crosses 17.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Western United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.70 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
282 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 10
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Western United (K) Western United (K) 3-2 HT 1-2 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW

Western United (K) 2-8 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United (K)
2-8
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.28 xG 5.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 6
232 Passes 305
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 31
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Western United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) ran out comfortable winners over Western United (K) 8-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-5. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Western United (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Western United (K) had 44% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 56%, shots finished 14-24, expected goals 1.28 to 5.06.

What was the final score of Western United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Western United (K) 2-8 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 29/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western United (K) 41%, draw 26%, Brisbane Roar (K) 33%. The final score 2-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Western United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
29 Dec 2024
09:00 Canberra United (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Analysis →