W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.4pp
59%
Away Win
70%
-11.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+6.2pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.86/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.06
-3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +44%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
15.1 Crosses 14.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.74 xG 2.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
198 Passes 428
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2024 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
14.01.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
01.01.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
01.01.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0-1
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.36 xG 1.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
305 Passes 427
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) edged past W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 45% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 55%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.36 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.25 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 17%, draw 24%, Melbourne City (K) 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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25 Jan 2025
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