Barito Putera 3-0 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 43%
-18% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +26%
0.99/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.71
-20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barito Putera
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
290 Passes 415
23.08.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
06.12.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-2 HT 0-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
14.03.2022 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
04.12.2021 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-0 HT 1-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
28.09.2019 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-0 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Barito Putera vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barito Putera ran out comfortable winners over Persebaya Surabaya 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Barito Putera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barito Putera and 1.60 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of Barito Putera vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Barito Putera 3-0 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barito Putera vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barito Putera 31%, draw 29%, Persebaya Surabaya 40%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✗ Under 2.5
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25 Jan 2025
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