Venda FC 1-3 Ajax Cape Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.57
Draw
43%
2.88
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.55
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
28%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
35%
-6.8pp
43%
Draw
31%
+11.3pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.9pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venda FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venda FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ajax Cape Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Venda FC GAF1
29.04.2023 Venda FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF1
05.11.2022 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Venda FC GAF1
POST-MATCH Venda FC vs Ajax Cape Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax Cape Town saw off Venda FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ajax Cape Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venda FC and 1.33 for Ajax Cape Town.

What was the final score of Venda FC vs Ajax Cape Town?

Venda FC 1-3 Ajax Cape Town in the South Afrika - Cup on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venda FC vs Ajax Cape Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Venda FC 28%, draw 43%, Ajax Cape Town 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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