ADO Den Haag (K) 1-1 PSV Eindhoven (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
63%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
52%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
7%
+9.9pp
21%
Draw
15%
+5.6pp
63%
Away Win
78%
-15.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.29/0.97
-100% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.7 Crosses 18.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
196 Passes 409
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) HOLK1
28.01.2024 PSV Eindhoven (K) PSV Eindhoven (K) 3-1 HT 3-0 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag (K)
1-1
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
199 Passes 334
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag (K) and PSV Eindhoven (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSV Eindhoven (K) at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ADO Den Haag (K) had 40% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven (K)'s 60%, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ADO Den Haag (K) and 2.50 for PSV Eindhoven (K).

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

ADO Den Haag (K) 1-1 PSV Eindhoven (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag (K) 17%, draw 21%, PSV Eindhoven (K) 63%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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