Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 Telstar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+33% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -41%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
255 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Telstar (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
268 Passes 265
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Telstar (K) Telstar (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
11.02.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 2-2 HT 2-2 Telstar (K) Telstar (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-1
AWAY Telstar (K)
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
181 Passes 404
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Telstar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and Telstar (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Excelsior Barendrecht (K) at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 37% of the ball to Telstar (K)'s 63%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and 1.50 for Telstar (K).

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Telstar (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 Telstar (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Telstar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Barendrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 53%, draw 25%, Telstar (K) 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Excelsior Barendrecht (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Barendrecht (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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