Leicester City U21 1-2 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 25 Jan 2025

Leicester City U21
1-2 HT 0-2
Sunderland U21
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Leicester City U21 vs Sunderland U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
Over Pick
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.33
No
33%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
29%
4-5
29%
6+
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 69% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
43%
+5.9pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
67%
BTTS Yes
71%
-4.1pp
33%
BTTS No
29%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leicester City U21 v Sunderland U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City U21 The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 The Market 38%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.46
+37% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.0 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Leicester City U21 vs Sunderland U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sunderland U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.25 xG 3.21
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
287 Passes 468
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
22.03.2024 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 4-2 HT 2-1 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 INGPL2-1

Leicester City U21 1-2 Sunderland U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City U21
1-2
AWAY Sunderland U21
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
377 Passes 320
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leicester City U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 nicked a narrow win over Leicester City U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

On the day, Leicester City U21 had 52% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 48%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Leicester City U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Leicester City U21 1-2 Sunderland U21 in the INGPL2 on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leicester City U21 49%, draw 18%, Sunderland U21 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leicester City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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