Annagh United 4-0 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.31
2-3 Goals
34%
1.85
4-5 Goals
32%
2.74
6+ Goals
8%
7.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.31 — our 26% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annagh United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.09/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.78
-47% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annagh United
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-2 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
14.09.2024 Annagh United Annagh United 1-0 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
25.02.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-3 HT 0-3 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
03.12.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Annagh United Annagh United KİRL1
01.10.2021 Annagh United Annagh United 0-3 HT 0-2 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Annagh United vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annagh United ran out comfortable winners over Newry City AFC 4-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Annagh United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Annagh United had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Annagh United and 1.00 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Annagh United vs Newry City AFC?

Annagh United 4-0 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annagh United vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annagh United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Annagh United 50%, draw 25%, Newry City AFC 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annagh United), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Annagh United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
25 Jan 2025
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