Ballinamallard United 2-2 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 42%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -25%
1.09/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.94
-36% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ards FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
24.08.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
20.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-5 HT 0-5 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.01.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
09.12.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
07.10.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United and Ards FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballinamallard United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.67 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Ballinamallard United 2-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 36%, draw 27%, Ards FC 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ards FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
25 Jan 2025
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