Ards FC 0-1 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.47
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
22%
2.59
6+ Goals
13%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
2.46/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.49
+26% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 HT 2-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
20.04.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-5 HT 0-5 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
13.01.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
09.12.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
07.10.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
03.10.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-5 Ards FC Ards FC KILK
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United squeezed past Ards FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ards FC and 1.17 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Ards FC 0-1 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 50%, draw 24%, Ballinamallard United 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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