Boyaca Chico 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Jan 2025

Boyaca Chico
1-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.8pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boyaca Chico v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.09/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.92
+10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
232 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.6 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boyaca Chico
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.85 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
278 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
17.10.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
01.05.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.01.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
03.11.2020 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
21.10.2018 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 2-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL

Boyaca Chico 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boyaca Chico
1-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.18 xG 1.21
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 15
186 Passes 347
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boyaca Chico nicked a narrow win over Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 40%) promised a tight game; Boyaca Chico found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boyaca Chico had 37% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 63%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 1.18 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boyaca Chico and 1.33 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Boyaca Chico 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 28%, draw 33%, Atletico Bucaramanga 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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