Sebat Gençlik SK 1-0 Erciyes 38 FSK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
2.0
Over
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Sebat Gençlik SK win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.5pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Erciyes 38 FSK The Market 14%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.04/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Erciyes 38 FSK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.09.2024 Erciyes 38 FSK Erciyes 38 FSK 1-1 Sebat Gençlik SK Sebat Gençlik SK S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sebat Gençlik SK
1-0
AWAY Erciyes 38 FSK
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sebat Gençlik SK vs Erciyes 38 FSK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebat Gençlik SK squeezed past Erciyes 38 FSK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sebat Gençlik SK as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sebat Gençlik SK had 55% of the ball to Erciyes 38 FSK's 45%, shots finished 19-6.

What was the final score of Sebat Gençlik SK vs Erciyes 38 FSK?

Sebat Gençlik SK 1-0 Erciyes 38 FSK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebat Gençlik SK vs Erciyes 38 FSK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebat Gençlik SK win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sebat Gençlik SK 62%, draw 23%, Erciyes 38 FSK 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sebat Gençlik SK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sebat Gençlik SK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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