Al Kholood 2-1 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Jan 2025

Al Kholood
2-1 HT 0-1
Al Raed
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Kholood vs Al Raed Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Kholood v Al Raed — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.79/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.21
+110% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
12.0 Crosses 15.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Kholood 2-1 Al Raed — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
2-1
AWAY Al Raed
1.88 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
332 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood edged past Al Raed 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Kholood as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Kholood had 52% of the ball to Al Raed's 48%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.88 to 1.05.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Raed?

Al Kholood 2-1 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 43%, draw 28%, Al Raed 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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