Al Wehda 2-2 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.29
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
60%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
27%
-5.8pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
59%
Away Win
49%
+10.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-6.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 53%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.20/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.80
+22% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.1 Crosses 22.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
297 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
28.10.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
09.03.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
01.10.2022 Al Wehda Al Wehda 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
17.04.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
01.01.2021 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
2-2
AWAY Al Ettifaq
0.71 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
300 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda and Al Ettifaq couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Al Ettifaq carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Wehda had 51% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 49%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.71 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ettifaq led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wehda and 1.17 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Wehda 2-2 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 21%, draw 19%, Al Ettifaq 59%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ettifaq) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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