İstanbulspor 1-0 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.71
Over
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.88
2-3
43%
1.8
4-5
18%
4.13
6+
9%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
23%
4.71
X/2
16%
6.61
X/X
15%
4.38
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
5%
5.08
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · X/1 at 4.71 — our 23% vs market 16.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK The Market 32%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.73/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.22
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
19.1 Crosses 12.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Amed SK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.17 xG 0.99
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
381 Passes 313
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Amed SK Amed SK 0-1 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-0
AWAY Amed SK
1.44 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
391 Passes 378
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor nicked a narrow win over Amed SK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 50% of the ball to Amed SK's 50%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.86.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Amed SK?

İstanbulspor 1-0 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 44%, draw 29%, Amed SK 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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