Yeni Malatyaspor vs Esenler Erokspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yeni Malatyaspor v Esenler Erokspor — Team-Based Signals
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Esenler Erokspor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Yeni Malatyaspor 0-1 Esenler Erokspor — Actual Match Statistics
Esenler Erokspor squeezed past Yeni Malatyaspor 1-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Esenler Erokspor as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Yeni Malatyaspor had 28% of the ball to Esenler Erokspor's 72%, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.22 to 3.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Esenler Erokspor's control.
What was the final score of Yeni Malatyaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Yeni Malatyaspor 0-1 Esenler Erokspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Esenler Erokspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Yeni Malatyaspor 18%, draw 20%, Esenler Erokspor 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.