Muang Thong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Muang Thong United v Nong Bua Pitchaya — Team-Based Signals
Muang Thong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Muang Thong United
TAY
Muang Thong United
TAY
1-1
HT 1-1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
TAY
Muang Thong United 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Actual Match Statistics
Muang Thong United squeezed past Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Muang Thong United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Muang Thong United had 66% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 34%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.17 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Muang Thong United and 0.75 for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
What was the final score of Muang Thong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Muang Thong United 2-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Muang Thong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Muang Thong United 60%, draw 19%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.