Nakhon Ratchasima 3-3 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.3pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.95/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.26
-27% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
23.0 Crosses 21.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rayong FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.41 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
256 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.08.2024 Rayong FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
3-3
AWAY Rayong FC
1.46 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
252 Passes 252
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
25 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima and Rayong FC couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 51% of the ball to Rayong FC's 49%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.46 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong FC?

Nakhon Ratchasima 3-3 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Ratchasima win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 39%, draw 34%, Rayong FC 27%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nakhon Ratchasima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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