Südtirol 3-0 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.93
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
22%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.65
Over
42%
2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.5
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
18%
4.58
6+
4%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.7
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
18%
4.49
X/2
9%
8.19
X/X
19%
3.94
2/1
2%
29.5
2/2
11%
6.88
2/X
5%
15.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Südtirol The Market 52%
Signal
AWAY Padova Calcio The Market 26%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.75 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
1.02 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
28 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
27 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.79 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
222 Passes 373
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
16.04.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
06.04.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTCK
09.03.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTCK
12.12.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
21.02.2021 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
3 - 0
AWAY Padova Calcio
3.04 xG 0.97
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
265 Passes 319
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Südtirol vs Padova Calcio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Südtirol ran out comfortable winners over Padova Calcio 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Südtirol as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Padova Calcio saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 3.04 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Südtirol against 0.50 for Padova Calcio.

Südtirol vs Padova Calcio Result & Final Score

Südtirol 3 - 0 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Südtirol vs Padova Calcio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 48%, draw 30%, Padova Calcio 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Südtirol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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