Padova Calcio 1-1 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Nov 2025

Padova Calcio
1-1 HT 0-1
Südtirol
📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Padova Calcio vs Südtirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.74
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.6
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
19%
5.2
X/2
12%
6.19
X/X
12%
3.71
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
11%
4.73
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Padova Calcio v Südtirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.24/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.26
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.0 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Padova Calcio vs Südtirol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Südtirol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.04.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
06.04.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTCK
09.03.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTCK
12.12.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
21.02.2021 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
25.10.2020 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 2-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC

Padova Calcio 1-1 Südtirol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-1
AWAY Südtirol
1.19 xG 0.79
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
373 Passes 222
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio and Südtirol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Padova Calcio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 59% of the ball to Südtirol's 41%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.19 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.17 for Südtirol.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Südtirol?

Padova Calcio 1-1 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 41%, draw 26%, Südtirol 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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