Virtus Entella vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Virtus Entella v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Virtus Entella vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Virtus Entella
İTB
2-5
HT 1-0
Empoli
İTB
2-4
HT 2-1
Virtus Entella
İTB
2-0
HT 2-0
Empoli
İTB
2-1
HT 1-0
Virtus Entella
İTB
Virtus Entella 1-0 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Virtus Entella squeezed past Empoli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Virtus Entella had 53% of the ball to Empoli's 47%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.53 to 0.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Virtus Entella's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Virtus Entella and 1.83 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Empoli?
Virtus Entella 1-0 Empoli in the Italy - Serie B on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 47%, draw 27%, Empoli 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.