Carrarese 0-2 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
11%
5.61
X/2
10%
5.93
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.0
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.3pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.38
+25% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.0 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Frosinone
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.39 xG 1.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
304 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Carrarese Carrarese 0-1 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
05.10.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 0-1 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
11.08.2019 Frosinone Frosinone 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
0-2
AWAY Frosinone
1.10 xG 1.82
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
286 Passes 215
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 30
31 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone saw off Carrarese 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Frosinone found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carrarese had 57% of the ball to Frosinone's 43%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.10 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Carrarese and 1.67 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Frosinone?

Carrarese 0-2 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 38%, draw 28%, Frosinone 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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