Frosinone 0-1 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.03
6+ Goals
12%
18.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.25
X/2
10%
7.51
X/X
11%
4.37
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.93
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.47/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.85
-16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -55%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.2 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Carrarese
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
11.08.2019 Frosinone Frosinone 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
0-1
AWAY Carrarese
1.47 xG 0.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
365 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese edged past Frosinone 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Frosinone at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Frosinone had 58% of the ball to Carrarese's 42%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.47 to 0.75 — on chances, Frosinone could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Carrarese?

Frosinone 0-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 45%, draw 27%, Carrarese 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Frosinone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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