Sassuolo 6-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 34% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.2
X/1
12%
3.86
X/2
7%
10.25
X/X
15%
5.11
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
8%
8.13
2/X
8%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.3pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.54/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.25
-8% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
Crosses 22.8
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cittadella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.98 xG 0.35
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
404 Passes 339
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 15
09.08.2024 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTK
16.03.2013 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
20.10.2012 Cittadella Cittadella 1-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
31.01.2012 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
10.09.2011 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
05.03.2011 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
6-1
AWAY Cittadella
4.37 xG 0.43
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
430 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo ran out comfortable winners over Cittadella 6-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo had 59% of the ball to Cittadella's 41%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 4.37 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassuolo and 0.50 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Cittadella?

Sassuolo 6-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 48%, draw 31%, Cittadella 20%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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