Spezia vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Reggiana
İTB
3-0
HT 1-0
Reggiana
İTK
Spezia 1-0 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia squeezed past Reggiana 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spezia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Spezia had 43% of the ball to Reggiana's 57%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.35 to 1.37.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spezia and 0.67 for Reggiana.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Reggiana?
Spezia 1-0 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Spezia 48%, draw 26%, Reggiana 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.