Reggiana 0-0 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
4.88
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.76
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
17%
5.22
X/2
13%
5.83
X/X
10%
3.63
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.39
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.10/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.27
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.0 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Spezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.76 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
394 Passes 332
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Spezia Spezia 1-2 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
05.08.2017 Spezia Spezia 3-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
0-0
AWAY Spezia
0.36 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
298 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana and Spezia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Reggiana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Reggiana had 50% of the ball to Spezia's 50%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.36 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Reggiana and 2.00 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Spezia?

Reggiana 0-0 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 43%, draw 25%, Spezia 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Reggiana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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