FeralpiSalo 1-2 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Mar 2024

FeralpiSalo
1-2 HT 0-1
Parma
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

FeralpiSalo vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.63
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
12%
8.35
X/2
14%
4.11
X/X
14%
4.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.45
2/X
8%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-10.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FeralpiSalo v Parma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 55%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.17/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.50
+24% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
18.2 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

FeralpiSalo vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Parma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.21 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
359 Passes 391
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 28
29 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Parma Parma 2-0 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB

FeralpiSalo 1-2 Parma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
1-2
AWAY Parma
0.84 xG 0.94
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
308 Passes 417
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 34
32 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma squeezed past FeralpiSalo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Parma made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 45% of the ball to Parma's 55%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.84 to 0.94.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Parma?

FeralpiSalo 1-2 Parma in the Italy - Serie B on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 31%, draw 29%, Parma 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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