FC Bari 1908 0-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.38 — our 37% vs market 35.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.88
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
11%
5.31
X/2 EV+ ✓
19%
5.69
X/X
13%
3.54
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.3
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · X/2 at 5.69 — our 19% vs market 13.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.3pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.23
-9% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
21.6 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sampdoria
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 2.16
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
226 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
28.04.2012 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
19.11.2011 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
23.04.2011 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
05.12.2010 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTA
24.03.2010 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
0-1
AWAY Sampdoria
1.97 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
348 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria nicked a narrow win over FC Bari 1908 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sampdoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 52% of the ball to Sampdoria's 48%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.97 to 0.80 — on chances, FC Bari 1908 could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.50 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria?

FC Bari 1908 0-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 35%, draw 26%, Sampdoria 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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