Como 3-1 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Mar 2024

Como
3-1 HT 2-0
Pisa
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.44
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.9
6+ Goals
10%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.99
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
10%
4.47
X/2
8%
7.07
X/X
15%
3.71
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
16%
5.75
2/X
10%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.6pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.59/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.34
+14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.7 Crosses 19.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Pisa
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.42 xG 1.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 0-1 Como Como İTB
21.01.2023 Como Como 2-2 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
21.08.2022 Pisa Pisa 2-2 HT 1-1 Como Como İTB
18.04.2022 Pisa Pisa 3-1 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
05.12.2021 Como Como 0-1 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
3-1
AWAY Pisa
1.97 xG 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
321 Passes 400
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como got the better of Pisa 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Como made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Como had 46% of the ball to Pisa's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.97 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pisa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Como and 1.80 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Como vs Pisa?

Como 3-1 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Como 36%, draw 33%, Pisa 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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