Südtirol 3-0 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.46
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.29
1/2
11%
32.0
1/X
12%
15.35
X/1
10%
7.29
X/2
22%
4.18
X/X
7%
3.64
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.88
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.98/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.75
+14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +88%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
18.2 Crosses 18.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Cremonese
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.43 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
232 Passes 437
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
29.11.2015 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTC
07.02.2015 Südtirol Südtirol 3-1 HT 3-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
3-0
AWAY Cremonese
0.98 xG 1.51
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
230 Passes 424
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 37
4 Crosses 39
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol cruised past Cremonese 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Südtirol had 39% of the ball to Cremonese's 61%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.98 to 1.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cremonese.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Südtirol had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Südtirol and 0.67 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Cremonese?

Südtirol 3-0 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 27%, draw 26%, Cremonese 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Cremonese), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
16 Mar 2024
16:00 Como vs Pisa Analysis →
16:00 Ternana vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →
16:00 Brescia vs Catanzaro Analysis →
16:00 FeralpiSalo vs Parma Analysis →
18:15 Reggiana vs Spezia Analysis →
18:15 FC Bari 1908 vs Sampdoria Analysis →