Sassuolo vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sassuolo v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals
Sassuolo vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cittadella
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Sassuolo
İTB
2-0
HT 0-0
Cittadella
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Cittadella
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
Sassuolo
İTB
Sassuolo 2-1 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics
Sassuolo squeezed past Cittadella 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sassuolo had 54% of the ball to Cittadella's 46%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.98 to 0.35 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sassuolo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sassuolo and 0.50 for Cittadella.
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Cittadella?
Sassuolo 2-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Cup on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Cittadella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 48%, draw 27%, Cittadella 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.