Monza 0-0 Südtirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 9 Aug 2024

Monza
0-0 HT 0-0
Südtirol
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2024/2025

Monza vs Südtirol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.68
6+ Goals
12%
15.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.68 — our 25% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.5
X/1
17%
3.66
X/2
7%
11.25
X/X
7%
5.14
2/1
11%
24.45
2/2
6%
9.35
2/X
6%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Südtirol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Südtirol EU Bookmakers 20%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.66/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.57
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +46%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
13.0 Crosses 18.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Monza vs Südtirol Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Südtirol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
3 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
– Corners 5
The Meetings
31.01.2015 Monza Monza 0-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTC

Monza 0-0 Südtirol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
0-0
AWAY Südtirol
1.22 xG 0.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 5
514 Passes 374
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monza vs Südtirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza and Südtirol fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Monza carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Monza had 57% of the ball to Südtirol's 43%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.22 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Monza vs Südtirol?

Monza 0-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Cup on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Südtirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Monza 59%, draw 21%, Südtirol 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Monza), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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