Genoa vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Reggiana
İTK
Genoa 1-0 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa nicked a narrow win over Reggiana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genoa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Genoa had 53% of the ball to Reggiana's 47%, shots finished 30-13, expected goals 2.39 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Genoa's control.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Reggiana?
Genoa 1-0 Reggiana in the Italy - Cup on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Genoa 55%, draw 27%, Reggiana 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.