Udinese 4-0 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.52
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.85
X/1
16%
3.5
X/2
7%
18.95
X/X
11%
7.85
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
8%
14.5
2/X
6%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-17.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Udinese EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.09/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.49
+38% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.9 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Udinese
4-0
AWAY Avellino
3.13 xG 0.35
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
493 Passes 258
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Udinese vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Udinese swept aside Avellino 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Udinese as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Udinese had 60% of the ball to Avellino's 40%, shots finished 15-1, expected goals 3.13 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Udinese vs Avellino?

Udinese 4-0 Avellino in the Italy - Cup on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Udinese vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Udinese 54%, draw 24%, Avellino 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Udinese) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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