Carrarese 0-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.15
X/2
11%
6.51
X/X
13%
3.81
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.88
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 33%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.50/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.31
+19% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.9 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Frosinone
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.75 xG 1.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
232 Passes 365
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 0-1 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
11.08.2019 Frosinone Frosinone 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
0-1
AWAY Frosinone
2.02 xG 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
376 Passes 352
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone nicked a narrow win over Carrarese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Carrarese at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Carrarese had 52% of the ball to Frosinone's 48%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.02 to 0.60 — on chances, Carrarese could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carrarese and 2.00 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Frosinone?

Carrarese 0-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 45%, draw 27%, Frosinone 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Carrarese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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