Sampdoria 1-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.32
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.15
X/2
14%
6.51
X/X
14%
4.0
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
11%
4.8
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -19%
1.38/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.31
-3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.2 Crosses 19.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Palermo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
343 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
17.05.2024 Palermo Palermo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
06.04.2024 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 2-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
04.11.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
26.02.2017 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
02.10.2016 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-1
AWAY Palermo
1.20 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
236 Passes 321
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 34
26 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria and Palermo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Sampdoria had 44% of the ball to Palermo's 56%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 1.20 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sampdoria and 1.17 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Palermo?

Sampdoria 1-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 39%, draw 28%, Palermo 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sampdoria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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