Brescia 1-1 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.53
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
43%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.03
6+ Goals
11%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.0
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
9%
5.51
X/2
17%
5.8
X/X
16%
3.5
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
4.34
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
32%
+10.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.32/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.22
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.5 Crosses 15.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cesena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 2.68
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 272
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
26.10.2024 Cesena Cesena 2-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
21.04.2018 Brescia Brescia 0-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
27.11.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
04.04.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
04.11.2016 Brescia Brescia 3-2 HT 2-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
17.01.2016 Brescia Brescia 2-1 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
1-1
AWAY Cesena
0.68 xG 1.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
379 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia and Cesena couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cesena at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Brescia had 54% of the ball to Cesena's 46%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.68 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brescia and 1.17 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Cesena?

Brescia 1-1 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brescia 28%, draw 29%, Cesena 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cesena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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