Cremonese 4-0 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.17
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
12%
4.16
X/2
18%
9.98
X/X
14%
4.74
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
6%
8.32
2/X
6%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.64/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.65
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.9 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
357 Passes 387
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
25.05.2024 Cremonese Cremonese 4-1 HT 3-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
21.05.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
20.04.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
19.08.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.01.2006 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
4-0
AWAY Catanzaro
3.82 xG 0.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
397 Passes 346
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese swept aside Catanzaro 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cremonese had 53% of the ball to Catanzaro's 47%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 3.82 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cremonese and 0.83 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Catanzaro?

Cremonese 4-0 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 46%, draw 25%, Catanzaro 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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