Cremonese 4-1 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 27% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
11%
4.26
X/2
10%
9.56
X/X
14%
5.44
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
15%
6.78
2/X
5%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.59/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.57
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
24.3 Crosses 10.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.05 xG 1.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
340 Passes 412
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
20.04.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
19.08.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.01.2006 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
04.09.2005 Cremonese Cremonese 2-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
4-1
AWAY Catanzaro
2.00 xG 0.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
376 Passes 437
92% Pass Accuracy 91%
22 Box Touches 9
8 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese swept aside Catanzaro 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cremonese had 46% of the ball to Catanzaro's 54%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.00 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cremonese and 0.60 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Catanzaro?

Cremonese 4-1 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 44%, draw 26%, Catanzaro 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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