Catanzaro vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Catanzaro v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals
Catanzaro vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Catanzaro
İTB
1-1
HT 0-1
Cremonese
İTB
2-0
HT 0-0
Catanzaro
İTB
Catanzaro 1-2 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics
Cremonese nicked a narrow win over Catanzaro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Catanzaro had 42% of the ball to Cremonese's 58%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.29 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cremonese's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cremonese led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Catanzaro and 1.50 for Cremonese.
What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Cremonese?
Catanzaro 1-2 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Cremonese?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 33%, draw 27%, Cremonese 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.