Salernitana vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salernitana v Modena — Team-Based Signals
Salernitana vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Modena
İTB
2-0
HT 2-0
Salernitana
İTB
1-0
HT 0-0
Salernitana
İTB
1-2
HT 0-0
Modena
İTB
3-2
HT 2-1
Modena
İTB
Salernitana 1-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics
Salernitana squeezed past Modena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Salernitana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Salernitana had 36% of the ball to Modena's 64%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.96 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Salernitana and 1.33 for Modena.
What was the final score of Salernitana vs Modena?
Salernitana 1-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Modena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 40%, draw 27%, Modena 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.