Palermo 1-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.62
X/2
10%
7.76
X/X
15%
4.39
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
5.77
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.59/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.34
+11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
23.3 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 1.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 Passes 376
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Palermo Palermo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
06.04.2024 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 2-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
04.11.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
26.02.2017 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
02.10.2016 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTA
01.05.2016 Palermo Palermo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
1-1
AWAY Sampdoria
1.69 xG 0.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
26 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
275 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo and Sampdoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Palermo had 52% of the ball to Sampdoria's 48%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.69 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palermo and 0.83 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Sampdoria?

Palermo 1-1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Palermo 40%, draw 28%, Sampdoria 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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