Spezia vs Südtirol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Südtirol — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Südtirol Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Spezia 3-0 Südtirol — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia ran out comfortable winners over Südtirol 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Spezia found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.
On the day, Spezia had 43% of the ball to Südtirol's 57%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.88 to 0.38.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spezia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Spezia and 2.00 for Südtirol.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Südtirol?
Spezia 3-0 Südtirol in the Italy - Serie B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Südtirol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spezia 39%, draw 31%, Südtirol 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.