Cremonese 1-0 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 33% vs market 30.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.14
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
15%
3.76
X/2
11%
10.75
X/X
13%
4.51
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
11%
9.33
2/X
6%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.57/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.14
-5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.1 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Frosinone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
321 Passes 342
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2022 Frosinone Frosinone 2-1 HT 2-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
30.11.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
27.02.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 4-0 HT 2-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
01.11.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 1-0 HT 1-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
07.03.2020 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
27.10.2019 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-0
AWAY Frosinone
2.96 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
413 Passes 274
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese edged past Frosinone 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cremonese had 58% of the ball to Frosinone's 42%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.96 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cremonese's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cremonese and 0.83 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Frosinone?

Cremonese 1-0 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 46%, draw 26%, Frosinone 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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