FC Bari 1908 3-2 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
18%
4.07
X/2
9%
8.65
X/X
12%
4.39
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
11%
7.09
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.25/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.24
-11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.7 Crosses 23.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Cittadella
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
272 Passes 339
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
30.08.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
01.05.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
08.12.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
03.06.2018 Cittadella Cittadella 2-2 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
17.03.2018 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
3-2
AWAY Cittadella
1.92 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
286 Passes 303
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 squeezed past Cittadella 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Bari 1908 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 48% of the ball to Cittadella's 52%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.92 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.83 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Cittadella?

FC Bari 1908 3-2 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 47%, draw 25%, Cittadella 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Bari 1908) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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