Avellino vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avellino v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals
Avellino 4-3 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino squeezed past Reggiana 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Avellino had 52% of the ball to Reggiana's 48%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.20 to 2.13.
What was the final score of Avellino vs Reggiana?
Avellino 4-3 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avellino vs Reggiana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Avellino 47%, draw 28%, Reggiana 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.