Empoli 1-2 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Virtus Entella
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.87 xG 1.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
335 Passes 302
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2021 Empoli Empoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
12.12.2020 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-5 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
17.07.2020 Empoli Empoli 2-4 HT 2-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
14.12.2019 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-0 HT 2-0 Empoli Empoli İTB
11.03.2018 Empoli Empoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
16.10.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-3 HT 0-2 Empoli Empoli İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-2
AWAY Virtus Entella
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella nicked a narrow win over Empoli 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Empoli had 51% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 49%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Empoli and 1.83 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Virtus Entella?

Empoli 1-2 Virtus Entella in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Empoli 44%, draw 28%, Virtus Entella 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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