Bolivya 0-1 Meksika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
53%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.38
6+ Goals
10%
23.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 37% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
24%
-8.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.1pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivya EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Meksika EU Bookmakers 53%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.97/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.46
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivya
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Meksika
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.57 xG 1.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 284
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Meksika Meksika 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya HAZ
13.06.2015 Meksika Meksika 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya AKU
10.09.2014 Bolivya Bolivya 0-1 HT 0-1 Meksika Meksika HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivya
0-1
AWAY Meksika
0.74 xG 0.79
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
293 Passes 327
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 5
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bolivya vs Meksika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika nicked a narrow win over Bolivya 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Bolivya had 47% of the ball to Meksika's 53%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 0.74 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Meksika led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Bolivya and 0.67 for Meksika.

What was the final score of Bolivya vs Meksika?

Bolivya 0-1 Meksika in the Friendlies on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivya vs Meksika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bolivya 15%, draw 32%, Meksika 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meksika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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